Malaysian economy to start moderating going into 2023: DoSM

The Malaysian economy is expected to start moderating in the months ahead in 2023 impacted by global economic uncertainty, said the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DoSM).

马来西亚统计局（DoSM）表示，受全球经济不确定性的影响，马来西亚经济预计将在 2023 年的未来几个月开始放缓。

Looking at the smoothed long-term trend in October 2022, the Leading Index (LI) started trending below the 100.0 point mark, the department said in a statement on 23rd December.

该部门在12月23日一份声明中表示，从 2022 年 10 月平滑的长期趋势来看，领先指数 (LI) 开始趋向于低于 100.0 点大关。

Chief statistician Datuk Seri Mohd Uzir Mahidin said that Malaysia's LI rose 0.4% to 109.6 points in October 2022 versus 109.2 points in the same month last year, a rise of 0.4 index points.

首席统计师 Datuk Seri Mohd Uzir Mahidin 表示，马来西亚的 LI 在 2022 年 10 月上涨 0.4% 至 109.6 点，而去年同月为 109.2 点，上涨了 0.4 个指数点。

"This increase was supported by the number of housing units approved and real imports of other basic precious and other non-ferrous metals,” the statement said.

“这一增长是由批准的住房数量以及其他基本贵金属和其他有色金属的实际进口支撑的，”声明说。

However, on a monthly basis, the LI recorded a negative 0.3 % in October 2022 against a negative 1.3 % in September 2022, the statement said.

然而，声明称，按月计算，LI 在 2022 年 10 月录得负 0.3%，而 2022 年 9 月为负 1.3%。

This trend was driven by the Bursa Malaysia Industrial Index (0.6 %), real imports of semiconductors (0.3 %), real money supply M1 (0.1 %) and expected sales value for manufacturing (0.1 %).

这一趋势受到大马交易所工业指数（0.6%）、半导体实际进口（0.3%）、实际货币供应量 M1（0.1%）和制造业预期销售价值（0.1%）的推动。

LI is a predictive tool to anticipate economic upturns and downturns in an average of four to six months ahead.

LI 是一种预测工具，可以预测平均未来四到六个月的经济好转和衰退。